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Lidar Technology Market-Forecasts from 2026 to 2031

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Market Size
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by 2031
CAGR
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2026-2031
Base Year
2025
Forecast Period
2026-2031
Projection
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Report Overview

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Lidar Technology Market-Forecasts from Highlights

Automotive manufacturers integrate lidar into series-production vehicles and commercial trucks, directly expanding volume demand for reliable long-range sensors. The ongoing investment in autonomous vehicle has further provided new growth prospects.
Government-funded elevation mapping programs, such as the USGS 3D Elevation Program, contract airborne lidar acquisitions consistently, thereby sustaining demand in topographic and bathymetric applications.
Efforts to bolster infrastructure planning and environment monitoring based on high-resolution datasets has outlined criteria which will drive the usage of airborne lidar platform including topographic and bathymetric.

Lidar technology employs laser pulses to generate precise three-dimensional representations of environments. Systems vary from mechanical scanning units to emerging solid-state designs, serving diverse operational needs. Demand stems primarily from sectors requiring accurate distance measurement and object detection under varying conditions.

Automotive applications dominate current expansions. Original equipment manufacturers deploy lidar to enable advanced driver assistance features and higher autonomy levels. Commercial truck programs accelerate this trend, as fleets pursue level 4 operations on highways. These integrations translate directly into serial orders for sensors meeting automotive-grade durability standards.

The global market is expected to grow at a considerable rate fueled by the ongoing investments in next-generation vehicle technologies such as ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance System). Likewise, the extension towards other industrial areas such as construction, meteorology, and aerospace & defense to achieve precision machinery guidance further provides new growth opportunities to be explored.

Market Dynamics

Market Drivers

Automotive manufacturers propel lidar demand through commitments to higher autonomy levels. And as efforts to improve real-time traffic monitoring and object detection further grows to enhance split-second decision taking, the demand for lidar sensors and products will accelerate. Various strategic collaborations between key players and automotive manufacturers has transformed the overall market landscape. For instance, in 2nd December 2025, the Daimler Truck and is subsidiary Torc Robotics announced that the company has selected Innoviz Technologies as their lidar partner for series production of level 4 class-8 autonomous semi-trucks. This collaboration involves Innoviz providing its “Innoviz Two Short Range” lidar sensors capable of object detection in regional routes and highway scenarios. Similarly, in August 2025, Hesai Technology announced that the company secured a design win with Toyota, positioning its units for integration across passenger models. These awards convert development programs into production orders, compelling suppliers to ramp output accordingly.

Government initiatives sustain airborne lidar requirements. The U.S. Geological Survey maintains the 3D Elevation Program (3DEP), which systematically contracts lidar datasets to achieve nationwide high-resolution coverage. Agencies award projects based on the Lidar Base Specification, ensuring consistent acquisitions for topographic mapping. NOAA complements this with bathymetric collections for coastal zones. Such public funding creates predictable demand channels distinct from commercial cycles. Furthermore, mapping extensions into smart infrastructure bolster requirements. Urban planning authorities commission lidar for digital twins supporting traffic management and disaster response. These projects often combine airborne and terrestrial data, engaging multiple supplier types.

Industrial automation expands terrestrial applications, as sectors such construction, and aerospace are employing lidar technology to achieve robust 3D-mapping and real-time navigation. Likewise, agriculture sector also holds high market potential for lidar technology for precision crop monitoring. Hence, the growing autonomous robotics usage in industrial sectors has set new technological standards that complies with “Industry 4.0” concept. According to the data provided by the International Federation of Robotics, in 2024, the total number of service robotics sold reached near 200,000 units from which transportation & logistics accounted for nearly 52% of the units sold, followed by hospitality with 21% and agriculture with 10%.

Market Restraints & Opportunities

High unit costs persist for advanced configurations poses a challenge for market growth. Mechanical systems require precise assembly, while solid-state variants demand specialized photonic components. Automotive price targets pressure suppliers to achieve economies absent in low-volume sectors like defense.

Performance limitations in adverse weather constrain broader adoption. Fog, rain, and snow degrade signal return, necessitating complementary sensors. This redundancy increases system complexity and cost. Regulatory fragmentation complicates global deployments. Jurisdictions vary in autonomy approvals, delaying volume ramps for international OEMs.

Opportunity arises in the form of growing autonomous transition in industrial operations which has established a framework for the adoption of robotics solutions. Likewise, the transportation sector is emphasizing on using next-generation concepts to bolster surroundings monitoring, and with commercial trucking investing in level 4 highway system, the demand for lidar products is set to pick up pace.

Likewise, the ongoing development of smart cities also offers new growth prospects. The urge to integrate mapping extension in smart infrastructure has enabled municipalities investing in infrastructure monitoring, terrestrial unit detection and managing traffic flows which has further expected the non-automotive usage.

Raw Material and Pricing Analysis

Lidar sensors rely on specialized photonic and semiconductor components such as photodetectors which include avalanche photodiodes (APD) or single-photon avalanche diodes (SPAD) fabricated on indium gallium arsenide substrates for infrared sensitivity. Suppliers source these from established semiconductor foundries, with market players namely ams OSRAM relying on cross-border supplies for its products such as vertical-cavity surface-emitting lasers (VCSEL). Pricing tracks broader semiconductor cycles. Demand surges during automotive ramps strain specialized capacity, elevating costs for high-performance detectors. Conversely, maturation of VCSEL production for consumer electronics has lowered array prices, benefiting flash-based lidar architectures.

Supply Chain Analysis

China serves as the primary assembly hub for automotive-grade lidar, with firms like Hesai, RoboSense, and others operating large-scale facilities. Component sourcing remains global, with lasers and detectors from Europe, Japan, and Taiwan. U.S. tariffs under Section 301 affect imported optical instruments, increasing costs for Chinese-origin units. Proposed Commerce Department rules target connected vehicle hardware specifically, potentially prohibiting sales altogether. Congressional initiatives further restrict Chinese lidar in federally funded projects.

Government Regulations & Programs

Jurisdiction

Key Regulation / Agency

Market Impact Analysis

United States

Bureau of Industry and Security, U.S. Department of Commerce

Proposed prohibition on Chinese- and Russian-origin software/hardware in connected vehicles restricts market entry for certain suppliers and shifts demand toward domestic or allied sources.

United States

United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE)

Regulations enabling level 3 and higher automated driving systems facilitate lidar adoption where sensors contribute to required safety performance.

Key Developments

  • 2nd December 2025: Innoviz Technologies Ltd announced its collaboration with Daimler Truck and its subsidiaries where the company will provide short-range lidar sensors for SAE Level 4 autonomous Class 8 semi-trucks. The collaboration will support Daimler’s autonomous commercial vehicle program.

  • August 2025: AEye, Inc. formed its strategic partnership with Blue-Band LLC which specializes in smart mobility solutions which involved integrating AEye’s “Apollo Lidar Technology” with Blue Band’s advanced Integrator-AI platform and deploying it next-generation traffic infrastructure.

  • March 2025: Luminar Technologies Inc. announced its collaboration with Caterpillar Inc. which involved integrating Lumiar’s lidar sensors with caterpillar’s next-generation autonomous heavy-duty vehicles.

Market Segmentation

By Product Type: Solid State Lidar

Based on product type, the lidar technology market is segmented into mechanical lidar, solid-state lidar and others. The solid-sate lidar is poised for a positive expansion fuelled by its high industrial applicability especially in automotive. Solid-state lidar eliminates moving parts, enhancing durability for automotive integration. Designs employ optical phased arrays or flash illumination with VCSEL arrays, achieving compact form factors suitable for vehicle styling.

Demand rises as manufacturers target mass-market pricing. Traditional mechanical units face vibration failures over lifetime testing, whereas solid-state configurations meet stringent reliability standards. Cost advantages emerge from semiconductor fabrication compatibility. Commercial trucks accelerate adoption. Level 4 highway systems prioritize sensor redundancy without roof-mounted spinners. Daimler Truck's selection of Innoviz units exemplifies this shift toward fixed-beam steering. Smart infrastructure applications favor solid-state for stationary deployments. Lower maintenance and power draw suit traffic monitoring poles.

By End-User: Automotive

Based on end-user, the lidar technology is divided into automotive, agriculture, meteorology, construction, aerospace & defense, mining and others. The automotive sector is projected to account for a considerable market share fuelled by the ongoing investment in autonomous vehicles programs, and next-generation concepts such as advanced driver assistance system (ADAS) which require robust usage of lidar sensors & software for navigation, surrounding monitoring, and object detection. Major automotive manufacturers operating in passenger and commercial vehicles are eyeing to exercise automation in their future models which has led to various strategic collaboration with key market players. For instance, in March 2025, Luminar Technologies Inc. announced its collaboration with Caterpillar Inc. to integrate former’s lidar technology in caterpillar’s next-generation autonomous vehicles.

Regional Analysis

North America Market Analysis

The North American market holds high market potential fueled the well-established technological framework in major regional economies namely the United States which has undertaken various strategic investments to bolster industrial automation. Likewise, the country also accounts for 68% of robotics installation in Americas according to the International Federation of Robotics. Likewise, the country has emphasized on enhancing its next-generation military aircraft development through the establishment strategic initiatives such as NGAD (Next Generation Air Dominance). According to the US Department of Defense “FY2026 Budget Request”, nearly USD 2.4 billion were enacted for NGAD in FY2025 and proposed request for FY2026 reaching USD 3.5 billion. Such ongoing investment autonomous robots and next-generation aircraft is set to provide new outlook for lidar technology usage.

Europe Market Analysis

The bolstering growing in industrial automation has provided new growth opportunities to expand the applicability of autonomous solutions. Likewise, to enhance the usage of sensors in object detection and route-navigation, hence major regional nations such as Germany, France, and the United Kingdom have established policies in this regard. For instance, in October 2025, the Department of Defense announced that the development of new sensor technology by UK Space Agency under its “Unlocking Space for Government Programme” which will play a major role in spotting & detecting lasers used by adversaries on UK’s satellite for intercepting communications. Likewise, Germany’s “Autonomous Driving Act” has established standards to support advanced research & development for future mobility.

South America & MEA Market Analysis

Improved automotive production and growing transition to interconnected vehicles in major South American nations such as Brazil is set to provide new growth prospects to Lidar software & hardware usage. Furthermore, the agriculture sector is also experiencing significant transformation which has further paved for future market expansion. Futuristic initiatives implemented by major Middle East and African economies such as Saudi Arabia’s “Vision 2030” has outlined criteria for industrial technological development which is expected to drive the demand and usage of lidar products in next-generation solutions.

Asia Pacific Market Analysis

Considered as the manufacturing hub, the technological landscape in major Asia Pacific economies namely China, India, Japan, and South Korea is growing thereby opening new paths to explore the applicability of autonomous solutions. In countries like China which accounts for major share of global automotive production and sales, strategic collaboration between major vehicle manufacturers such as Toyota and lidar products providers is shaping the overall market demand. Likewise, firms like Innoviz Technologies is aiming to invest in Indian market to optimize the growing market potential for intelligent transport system (ITS), for instance, in July 2025, Innoviz Technology announced its collaboration with Cron AI and Sparsh CCTV that involved development of an integrated Lidar-camera vision perception platform and support its deployment across transport, railways, security perimeter and critical infrastructure applications.

List of Companies

  • Redwood Software

  • ams OSRAM

  • Quanergy Solutions, Inc

  • XenomatiX

  • Valeo

  • Innoviz Technologies LTD

  • Benewake (Beijing) Co., Ltd.

  • AEye, Inc.

  • Luminar Technologies, Inc.

  • Leishen Intelligent Systems Co., Ltd

  • Hesai Technology

  • RoboSense Technology Co., Ltd

  • Ouster, Inc.

  • Hexagon AB

  • Trimble Inc.

  • Teledyne Technologies

  • SICK AG

The competitive arena for lidar technology features intense rivalry among incumbents leveraging proprietary ecosystems to dominate integration layers.

Hesai Technology positions as high-volume provider who has undertaken constant effort to expand its lidar offerings. The company’s in-house manufacturing centers offers exceptional quality & high performance lidar sensors such as JT128 hyper-hemispherical lidar that meets dynamic market tends. The firm reached cumulative production of one million units by October 2025 which demonstrated its manufacturing scale. Its strategic collaboration with major automotive players is driving the market goodwill of Hesai Technology.

Ouster, Inc. focuses on digital processing advantages that redefines autonomy in robotics, smart cities and vehicles. The company’s lidar sensors such as REV7 are compliant with the its AI-perception software that further maximizes the lidar potential. Through its strategic tie-ups Ouster Inc has carved out its name in the global lidar technology market, for instance, in May 2025, the company announced its collaboration with Komatsu where it will provide its 3D digital lidar sensors for latter’s heavy industrial machinery.

REPORT DETAILS

Report ID:KSI-008361
Published:Feb 2026
Pages:148
Format:PDF, Excel, PPT, Dashboard
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Frequently Asked Questions

The Lidar Technology-Forecasts from 2026 to 2031 Market is expected to reach significant growth by 2031.

Key drivers include increasing demand across industries, technological advancements, favorable government policies, and growing awareness among end-users.

This report covers North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, and Middle East & Africa with detailed country-level analysis.

This report provides analysis and forecasts from 2025 to 2031.

The report profiles leading companies operating in the market including major industry players and emerging competitors.

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