Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Size, Share, Opportunities, And Trends By Product (Aerial Drones, Autonomous Robots), By Range (Short Range, Long Range), By Location (Urban, Rural), By End-User (Food & Beverage, Pharmaceutical, Logistics and Transportation, Retail & E-Commerce, Others), And By Geography - Forecasts From 2025 To 2030

The autonomous last-mile delivery market is expected to increase at a CAGR of 16.16% during the forecasted period (2025 to 2030).

The autonomous last-mile delivery market is expected to grow significantly, due to a rise in demand for faster, contactless, and more efficient delivery solutions. With the increasing demand from e-commerce and online food delivery, businesses are using drones, self-driving vehicles, and delivery robots to make last-mile operations better and reduce human intervention. Additionally, rapid urbanization and a shortage of human capital in logistics are further pushing companies to adopt autonomous technologies for delivery purposes. As consumer expectations increase and smart city infrastructure expands, this is prompting many key players to invest in R&D and partnerships to enhance the reliability and safety of these autonomous systems, fueling the market's global expansion.

Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Overview & Scope

The autonomous last-mile delivery market is segmented by:

• Product: Autonomous robots hold a larger market share due to their higher payload capacity and suitability for residential neighborhoods, making them ideal for regular parcel, grocery, and food deliveries. Aerial drones are becoming increasingly popular owing to their ability to support fast and efficient deliveries, especially in hard-to-reach or congested urban areas.
• Range: Short-range delivery solutions hold a notable share as compact delivery robots and drones are ideal for navigating short distances quickly and efficiently. Long-range autonomous deliveries are gaining traction as technology improves, particularly for suburban or inter-city logistics, allowing companies to expand their service coverage with minimal human intervention.
• Location: Urban holds the major share of the autonomous last-mile market because they have a better infrastructure that can help deploy tools such as charging stations and drop-off zones. Urban areas are more densely populated, hence, they have a higher volume of deliveries nearby.
• End user: The retail and e-commerce sector holds a considerable market share because of the rapid growth of e-commerce. Likewise, the logistics and transportation segment holds a significant share in the autonomous last-mile delivery market owing to the growing emphasis on improving bulk deliveries. The food & beverage sector is also seeing growing adoption of autonomous delivery solutions, ensuring faster, contactless, and more efficient food deliveries. Meanwhile, the pharmaceutical segment has also adopted autonomous delivery for delivering critical medicines in remote areas.
• Region: The Asia-Pacific autonomous last-mile market is picking up pace as more consumers across major regional countries like China and Japan are indulging in e-commerce activities. Over the next few years, this region may take a much bigger share of the global alternative protein market.

Top Trends Shaping the Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market

• More Businesses Are Going Autonomous – From delivery drones to self-driving robots, companies are choosing autonomous delivery systems to speed up last-mile delivery and make urban transport more efficient. With more people wanting quick, contactless service, these solutions are helping businesses meet expectations and run smoother operations.
• Smarter Technology – Owing to better sensors and advances in AI, autonomous vehicles are getting much better at making real-time decisions and navigating safely. This is giving industries like logistics, transport, and even manufacturing the confidence to start using these technologies more widely.

Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Growth Drivers vs. Challenges

Drivers:

• Growing Safety & Efficiency Awareness: The ongoing transition towards smart vehicles fuelled by an improved technological landscape has provided new growth prospects for autonomous delivery last-mile delivery solutions. Features inclusive of smart navigation, adaptive cruise control, and automatic braking are making the modern approach more appropriate for logistics.

Moreover, the high prevalence of road accidents is also creating a consumer shift towards a driverless delivery approach. For instance, according to a “Road Safety Annual Report 2024” by the International Transport Forum, around 896 people died in road accidents in Poland, this was an increase of 9.9% in comparison to 2023. Owing to such a high frequency of road fatalities, there is a bigger push for regulations and testing to propel the implementation of autonomous vehicles for logistics & last-mile delivery. Additionally, features like automated parking and traffic assist are making everyday driving less stressful and more convenient.

 

• Rising Environmental Concerns: Self-driving robots will not only provide safety but also can be a better solution for the environment, as they offer energy optimization, and take quicker routes. Likewise, drone and autonomous delivery vehicles cut off carbon emissions which is also driving their preference. As per the International Energy Agency switching to electric vehicles could cut over 2 gigatonnes of CO? emissions by 2035. With growing climate concerns, both consumers and governments are supporting green technology, and autonomous EVs fit right into this shift. Companies are also racing to build cleaner, smarter vehicles that meet both economic and mobility goals. This creates a mutually beneficial outcome, reducing urban air pollution while providing drivers with a more efficient and seamless transportation experience.

Challenges:

• Infrastructure & Regulatory Hurdles- One of the biggest challenges in the autonomous last-mile delivery market is the lack of supportive infrastructure and regulations. While technological advancement is gaining traction still there is lack of technical ground to cover up to commercialize modern approaches such as sidewalk bots, drones, and autonomous vehicles. Issues like traffic laws, liability in case of accidents, and safety standards can slow down deployment. Additionally, without proper charging stations, secure drop-off zones, or digital road maps, scaling these solutions becomes tricky in many urban and suburban areas.

Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Regional Analysis

• North America: North America is still holding on to a considerable share of the autonomous last-mile delivery market, with the U.S. leading the way. This is mainly because of a strong logistics infrastructure and big investments from major players looking to streamline delivery. As e-commerce activities keep improving and people expect faster, contactless deliveries, companies are supporting autonomous solutions like delivery bots and drones. Strategic partnerships and pilot programs across cities are also helping test and refine these technologies, making last-mile delivery smarter and more efficient.

Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Competitive Landscape

The market is fragmented, with many notable players, including. Starship Technologies Inc., Amazon.com, Inc., Nuro, Inc., DHL, Kiwi Campus, FedEx Corp, Udelv, Avride, WeRide among others                                                       

• Product launch: In February 2025, WeRide Inc. launched its new autonomous delivery solution “Robovan W5”, which features level 4 autonomous technology making it capable of working 24/7 in varied weather conditions for long-distance and bulk deliveries.
• Partnership: In February 2025, W Motors partnered with Valeo to develop an advanced last-mile delivery solution, which will cater to the needs of the UAE and beyond.
• Partnership: In October 2024, Uber Technologies Inc. announced its strategic partnership with Avride where the latter will provide its autonomous vehicles & delivery robots to Uber & Uber Eats. The partnership is expected to provide a new format of product delivery and will launch its first sidewalk robot in Austin.

Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Market Segmentation:

By Product

• Aerial Drones
• Autonomous Robots

By Range

• Short Range
• Long Range

By Location

• Urban
• Rural

By End-user

• Food & Beverage
• Pharmaceutical
• Logistics and Transportation
• Retail & E-Commerce
• Others

By Region

• North America
  • USA
  • Canada
  • Mexico
• South America
  • Brazil
  • Argentina
  • Others
• Europe
  • United Kingdom
  • Germany
  • France
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • Others
• Middle East & Africa
  • Saudi Arabia
  • United Aran Emirates
  • Others
• Asia Pacific
  • China
  • India
  • Japan
  • South Korea
  • Taiwan
  • Thailand
  • Others

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 

2. MARKET SNAPSHOT

2.1. Market Overview

2.2. Market Definition

2.3. Scope of the Study

2.4. Market Segmentation

3. BUSINESS LANDSCAPE 

3.1. Market Drivers

3.2. Market Restraints

3.3. Market Opportunities 

3.4. Porter’s Five Forces Analysis

3.5. Industry Value Chain Analysis

3.6. Policies and Regulations 

3.7. Strategic Recommendations 

4. TECHNOLOGICAL OUTLOOK 

5. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET BY PRODUCTS

5.1. Introduction

5.2. Aerial Drones

5.3. Autonomous Robots

6. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET BY RANGE

6.1. Introduction

6.2. Short Range

6.3. Long Range

7. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET BY LOCATION

7.1. Introduction

7.2. Rural

7.3. Urban

8. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET BY END-USER

8.1. Introduction

8.2. Food & Beverage

8.3. Pharmaceutical

8.4. Logistics and Transportation

8.5. Retail & E-Commerce

8.6. Others

9. AUTONOMOUS LAST-MILE DELIVERY MARKET BY GEOGRAPHY

9.1. Introduction

9.2. North America

9.2.1. USA

9.2.2. Canada

9.2.3. Mexico

9.3. South America

9.3.1. Brazil 

9.3.2. Argentina

9.3.3. Others

9.4. Europe

9.4.1. United Kingdom

9.4.2. Germany

9.4.3. France

9.4.4. Italy

9.4.5. Spain

9.4.6. Others

9.5. Middle East & Africa

9.5.1. Saudi Arabia

9.5.2. United Aran Emirates

9.5.3. Others

9.6. Asia Pacific

9.6.1. China

9.6.2. India

9.6.3. Japan

9.6.4. South Korea

9.6.5. Taiwan

9.6.6. Thailand

9.6.7. Others

10. COMPETITIVE ENVIRONMENT AND ANALYSIS

10.1. Major Players and Strategy Analysis

10.2. Market Share Analysis

10.3. Mergers, Acquisitions, Agreements, and Collaborations

10.4. Competitive Dashboard

11. COMPANY PROFILES

11.1. Starship Technologies Inc.

11.2. Ottonomy Inc.

11.3. Cartken Inc. 

11.4. Mitsubishi Electric Corporation

11.5. SMP Robotics

11.6. Kiwibot

11.7. DJI

11.8. A2Z Drone Delivery

11.9. TSAW Drones

11.10. Fixar

12. APPENDIX

12.1. Currency 

12.2. Assumptions

12.3. Base and Forecast Years Timeline

12.4. Key benefits for the stakeholders

12.5. Research Methodology 

12.6. Abbreviations 

Starship Technologies Inc.

Ottonomy Inc.

Cartken Inc. 

Mitsubishi Electric Corporation

SMP Robotics

Kiwibot

DJI

A2Z Drone Delivery

TSAW Drones

Fixar