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Global Pastry Market - Strategic Insights and Forecasts (2024-2029)

Market evaluation of pastry offerings, premium bakery trends, and urban consumption patterns.

Market Size in 2024
USD 45.8 billion
Market Size in 2029
USD 60.2 billion
CAGR 2024-2029
5.6%
Study Period
2019-2029
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Formats
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Pages
145
Data update
2026 refresh included
Report OverviewSegmentationTable of ContentsCustomize Report

The Pastry market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.6%, reaching a market size of US$60.2 billion in 2029 from US$45.8 billion in 2024.

Global Pastry Market - Strategic Insights and Forecasts (2024-2029) market growth projection from $45.80B in 2024 to $60.20B by 2029 at a CAGR of 5.6%.
Global Pastry Market - Strategic Insights and Forecasts (2024-2029) market growth projection from $45.80B in 2024 to $60.20B by 2029 at a CAGR of 5.6%.

A Pastry is a baked food product that is commonly produced with dough, water, and shortenings such as solid fats such as butter and lard.  Most pastry products are known to have high fat, sugar, and flavouring content and small liquid content. Some of the very well-known pastries worldwide include pies, doughnuts, tarts, and many others.

Introduction:

The global pastry market is expected to witness significant growth during the forecasted period of 2024-2029 due to several factors, such as the increase in disposable incomes and the baking industry expansion. The increase in disposable income leads to the change in taste and preference of consumers, leading to an increased need for premium ready-to-eat products, which include pastries and other bakery products.

Market Drivers:

  • GROWING DISPOSABLE INCOMES: the growth of disposable income can be one of the major factors that contribute to the pastry market growth. The increase in disposable income leads to an increase in purchasing power, which creates a change in the preference and taste of the consumers towards more higher costing products. It also can be linked to the increase in consumption of ready-to-eat food, since ready-to-eat food products provide convenience and are easily available for those who have a busy lifestyle. The increase in disposable incomes of individuals can also be linked to the increase in the growth rate of urbanization, leading to an increased need for processed food and ready-to-eat food products by the urban population. The Federal Bank of St. Louis displays the annual growth of disposable personal income among individuals in the United States, which shows an increase from US$16,640.3 billion in February 2020 to US$20,581.6 billion in December 2023. This increase in personal disposable income can be linked to the increase in urbanization in the region, which can lead to an increase in consumption of pastry products such as doughnuts due to their easy availability. Therefore, the increase in the disposable incomes of individuals can provide the necessary fuel for the global pastry market growth during the forecasted period.

Key Players:

  • Mondelez International: A multinational company known for the manufacturing and marketing of food and beverage products, which include a wide range of products such as snacks, cookies, crackers, chocolate, cheese, candy, groceries, and beverages. Some of their well-known making and baking brands include Cadbury, Tang, Bournvita, Orea, and many others.

  • CSM Ingredients: A global leader and multinational company that is known for supplying ingredients and food solutions to the food industry. They are known for providing a wide range of products, which include pastry mixes, bread ingredients, and bakery fats.

Regional Analysis:

The North American region is expected to witness significant growth in the pastry market during the forecasted period of 2024-2029. The factors that contribute to the global pastry market growth are the relevance of the baking industry in the United States and the increase in disposable personal income among the citizens of the region. Pastry can be considered a type of bakery product since various pastry products such as doughnuts, cakes, and many others involve the process of baking using several ingredients, such as baking powder. The American Bakers Association states that the baking industry accounts for an estimated US$533.18 billion in economic output, which is 2.01 of the GDP in the United States. They include a wide range of bakery products, which include cakes, pastries, pies, cookies, pretzels, cereal and many others. The growth in the baking industry can be linked to the increase in disposable personal income of the citizens in the United States, allowing for higher purchasing power and an increase in consumption of ready-to-eat food and processed foods. The Bureau of Economic Analysis of the United States mentions that personal disposable income (PDI) has shown an increase of 0.3 percent from the previous month, which is an increase to US$51.8 billion in December 2023. It was also mentioned that the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) has shown an increase to US$133.9 billion, which is an increase of 0.7 percent from the previous year. This increase in personal incomes can be linked to the increase in the urban population, further leading to the growth of the urbanization of the North American region. This increase in income can also be linked to the change in the taste and preferences of consumers, preferring more products with higher costs than their standard costing products. Hence, the relevance of the baking industry and the increase in the personal disposable income of the people in the United States contribute to the global pastry market growth during the forecasted period.

Market Developments:

  • April 2023: Bakingo, one of the leading cakes and dessert connoisseurs, announced the launch of their latest collection of exquisite cakes, which consists of seven flavours. The launch of the cake products was driven by the demand for new flavours by the consumers of Bakingo who wanted to indulge in speciality.  The flavours include the Trio Mousse cake, Biscoff Baked Cheesecake, German Black Forest cake, Opera Coffee Chocolate cake, and the Nutella Hazelnut Flavour.

  • March 2021: Andros Asia announced the launch of their new pastry application, dubbed ANDROS Fruit Filling. This product consists of up to 40% fruit content with real fruit pieces, which provide cakes with outstanding texture and taste of natural fruits. The product was released in 3 flavours for the Vietnam market and 6 flavours for the Asian market and is applicable in various pastry dishes, which include macron, cheesecakes, mousse, and many others.

Pastry Market Scope

Report Metric Details
Total Market Size in 2024 USD 45.8 billion
Total Market Size in 2029 USD 60.2 billion
Forecast Unit Billion
Growth Rate 5.6%
Study Period 2019 to 2029
Historical Data 2019 to 2022
Base Year 2023
Forecast Period 2024 – 2029
Segmentation Product Type, Distribution Channel, Geography
Companies
  • Mondelez International.
  • CSM Ingredients
  • Grupo Bimbo
  • Dawn Food Products Inc.
  • Aryzta AG
  • Flowers Foods
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Market Segmentation

Geography
  • North America
  • South America
  • Europe
  • Middle East and Africa
  • Asia Pacific

Table of Contents

1. INTRODUCTION

1.1. Market Overview

1.2. Market Definition

1.3. Scope of the Study

1.4. Market Segmentation

1.5. Currency

1.6. Assumptions

1.7. Base, and Forecast Years Timeline

1.8. Key Benefits to the Stakeholder

2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY  

2.1. Research Design

2.2. Research Processes

3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3.1. Key Findings

3.2. Analyst View

4. MARKET DYNAMICS

4.1. Market Drivers

4.2. Market Restraints

4.3. Porter’s Five Forces Analysis

4.3.1. Bargaining Power of Suppliers

4.3.2. Bargaining Power of Buyers

4.3.3. Threat of New Entrants

4.3.4. Threat of Substitutes

4.3.5. Competitive Rivalry in the Industry

4.4. Industry Value Chain Analysis

5. GLOBAL PASTRY MARKET BY PRODUCT TYPE

5.1. Introduction

5.2. Cakes

5.2.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

5.2.2. Growth Prospects

5.2.3. Geographic Lucrativeness

5.3. Pies

5.3.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

5.3.2. Growth Prospects

5.3.3. Geographic Lucrativeness

5.4. Croissants

5.4.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

5.4.2. Growth Prospects

5.4.3. Geographic Lucrativeness

5.5. Donuts

5.5.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

5.5.2. Growth Prospects

5.5.3. Geographic Lucrativeness

5.6. Others

5.6.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

5.6.2. Growth Prospects

5.6.3. Geographic Lucrativeness

6. GLOBAL PASTRY MARKET BY DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL

6.1. Introduction

6.2. Hypermarkets and Supermarkets

6.2.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

6.2.2. Growth Prospects

6.2.3. Geographic Lucrativeness

6.3. Convenience Stores

6.3.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

6.3.2. Growth Prospects

6.3.3. Geographic Lucrativeness

6.4. Online Retail

6.4.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

6.4.2. Growth Prospects

6.4.3. Geographic Lucrativeness

6.5. Cafes and Bakeries

6.5.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

6.5.2. Growth Prospects

6.5.3. Geographic Lucrativeness

6.6. Others

6.6.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

6.6.2. Growth Prospects

6.6.3. Geographic Lucrativeness

7. GLOBAL PASTRY MARKET BY GEOGRAPHY

7.1. Introduction

7.2. North America

7.2.1. By Material

7.2.2. By Application

7.2.3. By Product Type

7.2.4. By Country

7.2.4.1. United States

7.2.4.1.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.2.4.1.2. Growth Prospects

7.2.4.2. Canada

7.2.4.2.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.2.4.2.2. Growth Prospects

7.2.4.3. Mexico

7.2.4.3.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.2.4.3.2. Growth Prospects

7.3. South America

7.3.1. By Material

7.3.2. By Application

7.3.3. By Product Type

7.3.4. By Country

7.3.4.1. Brazil

7.3.4.1.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.3.4.1.2. Growth Prospects

7.3.4.2. Argentina

7.3.4.2.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.3.4.2.2. Growth Prospects

7.3.4.3. Others

7.3.4.3.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.3.4.3.2. Growth Prospects

7.4. Europe

7.4.1. By Material

7.4.2. By Application

7.4.3. By Product Type

7.4.4. By Country

7.4.4.1. United Kingdom

7.4.4.1.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.4.4.1.2. Growth Prospects

7.4.4.2. Germany

7.4.4.2.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.4.4.2.2. Growth Prospects

7.4.4.3. France

7.4.4.3.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.4.4.3.2. Growth Prospects

7.4.4.4. Italy

7.4.4.4.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.4.4.4.2. Growth Prospects

7.4.4.5. Spain

7.4.4.5.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.4.4.5.2. Growth Prospects

7.4.4.6. Others

7.4.4.6.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.4.4.6.2. Growth Prospects

7.5. Middle East and Africa

7.5.1. By Material

7.5.2. By Application

7.5.3. By Product Type

7.5.4. By Country

7.5.4.1. Saudi Arabia

7.5.4.1.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.5.4.1.2. Growth Prospects

7.5.4.2. UAE

7.5.4.2.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.5.4.2.2. Growth Prospects

7.5.4.3. Others

7.5.4.3.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.5.4.3.2. Growth Prospects

7.6. Asia Pacific

7.6.1. By Material

7.6.2. By Application

7.6.3. By Product Type

7.6.4. By Country

7.6.4.1. Japan

7.6.4.1.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.6.4.1.2. Growth Prospects

7.6.4.2. China

7.6.4.2.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.6.4.2.2. Growth Prospects

7.6.4.3. India

7.6.4.3.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.6.4.3.2. Growth Prospects

7.6.4.4. South Korea

7.6.4.4.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.6.4.4.2. Growth Prospects

7.6.4.5. Taiwan

7.6.4.5.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.6.4.5.2. Growth Prospects

7.6.4.6. Thailand

7.6.4.6.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.6.4.6.2. Growth Prospects

7.6.4.7. Indonesia

7.6.4.7.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.6.4.7.2. Growth Prospects

7.6.4.8. Others

7.6.4.8.1. Market Trends and Opportunities

7.6.4.8.2. Growth Prospects

8. COMPETITIVE ENVIRONMENT AND ANALYSIS

8.1. Major Players and Strategy Analysis

8.2. Market Share Analysis

8.3. Mergers, Acquisitions, Agreements, and Collaborations

8.4. Competitive Dashboard

9. COMPANY PROFILES

9.1. Mondelez International.

9.2. CSM Ingredients 

9.3. Grupo Bimbo

9.4. Dawn Food Products, Inc.

9.5. Aryzta AG

9.6. Flowers Foods

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Report IDKSI061616710
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Frequently asked questions

What is the projected market size and growth rate for the Global Pastry Market from 2024 to 2029?

The Global Pastry Market is projected to reach a substantial market size of US$60.2 billion by 2029, growing from US$45.8 billion in 2024. This growth trajectory indicates a robust Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.63% over the forecasted period.

What are the primary market drivers expected to fuel the growth of the Global Pastry Market?

The Global Pastry Market's growth is primarily driven by increasing disposable incomes and the expansion of the baking industry. Rising disposable incomes enhance consumer purchasing power, leading to a greater demand for premium, ready-to-eat products and catering to changing tastes and preferences, especially among the urban population with busy lifestyles.

Which types of pastry products are key components of the market analyzed in this report?

The report focuses on baked food products typically made with dough, water, and shortenings like butter and lard, characterized by their high fat, sugar, and flavoring content. Well-known examples of pastry products explicitly mentioned include pies, doughnuts, and tarts, which are significant contributors to the market.

Which specific regions are highlighted for significant growth within the Global Pastry Market forecast?

According to the report's regional analysis, the North American region is specifically expected to witness significant growth in the Global Pastry Market. This surge in demand can be linked to factors such as increased urbanization and the resulting need for convenient food options like doughnuts in the region.

Who are some of the key players identified in the competitive landscape of the Global Pastry Market?

The report identifies prominent companies such as Mondelez International, a multinational known for a wide range of food and beverage products including well-known making and baking brands. Another key player is CSM Ingredients, a global leader supplying various ingredients and food solutions, including pastry mixes and bakery fats, to the food industry.

How do evolving consumer preferences and disposable incomes influence the future outlook of the Global Pastry Market?

Evolving consumer preferences, largely influenced by increasing disposable incomes, are shifting demand towards premium and convenient ready-to-eat bakery products. This trend, combined with the growing urbanization and the need for easy food options for busy lifestyles, provides significant fuel for the Global Pastry Market's sustained growth through 2029.

Cite this report

Knowledge Sourcing Intelligence. (Mar 2026). Global Pastry Market - Strategic Insights and Forecasts (2024-2029). https://www.knowledge-sourcing.com/report/global-pastry-market

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