
(in percentage of total biofuel production)
Source: OECD Agricultural Outlook 2023-2032
Coupled with the increase in growth of crop production, the increasing urbanization rates drive the growth of global GMO seed production during the forecasted period. The increase in the global urban population gives rise to an increase in demand for better nutrition and yield in crop products, which include rice, wheat, corn, and many others, which are further processed for the production of products such as oil, and many others. As per the World Bank, the global urban population accounts for 56% of the total global population, which accounts for an estimated 4.4 billion people in 2023. It has been projected by the World Bank that the global urban population is expected to reach an estimated 6 billion by 2045 and is expected to double in size of the current urban population by 2050, which accounts for an estimated 6 billion and 8.8 billion respectively. The increasing urban population gives rise to an increase in the number of health-conscious consumers in the market, further influencing the increase in the production of food with increased nutrition.
Figure 2: Projected Urban Population Growth, Global, 2023-2050
(in billions of people)
Source: World Bank
Increasing growth of crop production, especially corn production, propels the growth of the GMO seeds market.
Corn accounts for the majority of genetically engineered crops existing in the market. The increasing demand for corn for ethanol production and livestock feed drives the growth of the global GMO seeds market during the forecasted period. GMO seeds are known to contain several properties that help in the increase of yield and the reduction of cost of production in agriculture, significantly improving the growth of the agricultural industry. As per developmentaid.org, corn, also commonly known as maize, was expected to increase to reach 1.17 billion metric tons in 2023. The top countries that account for the global increase in the production of corn include the United States, Argentina, the EU, and China. The United States accounts for the majority of corn production globally, accounting for an estimated 390 million metric tonnes and an annual production of 90 million acres of corn. China accounted for an estimated 280 million tonnes, which accounts for 23% of the global corn production. Brazil accounted for an estimated 129 million metric tonnes, which accounts for 11% of the global corn production. The EU and Argentina account for an estimated 64 million metric tonnes and 54 million metric tonnes respectively, which accounts for 5% and 4% of the global corn production respectively.
Figure 3: Top Corn Producing Countries, Global, 2023
(in 1000 metric tonnes)
Source: The United States Department of Agriculture
Key Developments:
March 2023: Corteva Agriscience announced the launch of their plant breeding innovation that can combat corn disease by adding protection to elite corn hybrids by advancing through the company’s R&D pipeline. The increase in the prevalence of plant diseases in agriculture increased the concern of farmers, which further boosted the need for multi-disease resistance concepts and also increased the need for additional crop protection product applications in the market. This innovation makes use of gene editing to combine and reposition disease-resistance traits that had already existed within the corn genome to bolster the disease's tolerance and minimize production stress in corn. This technological innovation also offers healthier plants and increases yield potential even further. This allows farmers to have more freedom in the selection of performance characteristics that are more in line with their yield goals than having to worry about disease resistance.Interested in this topic? Contact our analysts for more details.




